Drew Dober vs Marcin Held
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-15-0Record29-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
70″Reach39,5"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamAnkos MMA· 1669 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1712
If they lose-12→ 1688
If they win+12→ 1712
If they lose-12→ 1688
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1654 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1628 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Drew DoberMarcin Held
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcin Held52%
Drew Dober 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcin Held a 52% favorite over Drew Dober in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Drew Dober's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1700 vs 1700), separated by just 0 points.
Drew Dober enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Drew Dober finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Held 66%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.