Drew Dober vs Nasrat Haqparast
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-15-0Record18-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
70″Reach72"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1713
If they lose-12→ 1689
If they win+12→ 1725
If they lose-12→ 1701
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1696 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Drew DoberNasrat Haqparast
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nasrat Haqparast62%
Drew Dober 38%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Nasrat Haqparast a 62% favorite over Drew Dober in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1701 vs 1713), separated by just 12 points.
Drew Dober enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Nasrat Haqparast enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Drew Dober finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Nasrat Haqparast 56%.
Drew Dober and Nasrat Haqparast share 1 common opponent: King Green.
Nasrat Haqparast carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.