Drew Dober vs Terrance McKinney
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-15-0Record18-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
70″Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamWarrior Camp
What's at stake
Drew Dober is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Terrance McKinney carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1712
If they lose-13→ 1688
If they win+13→ 1675
If they lose-11→ 1651
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1671 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Drew DoberTerrance McKinney
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Drew Dober52%
Terrance McKinney 48%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Drew Dober a 52% favorite over Terrance McKinney in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Drew Dober holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1701 to 1662, a 39-point edge.
Drew Dober enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Drew Dober finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Terrance McKinney 100%.
Drew Dober and Terrance McKinney share 1 common opponent: King Green.
Terrance McKinney carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.