Drew Fickett vs Kurt Pellegrino
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
43-22-0Record16-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
151 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team ScrubTeamPellegrino MMA
What's at stake
Kurt Pellegrino is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Drew Fickett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1571
If they lose-10→ 1547
If they win+13→ 1632
If they lose-19→ 1600
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Drew FickettKurt Pellegrino
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kurt Pellegrino70%
Drew Fickett 30%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Kurt Pellegrino a 70% favorite over Drew Fickett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Kurt Pellegrino holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1619 to 1557, a 62-point edge.
Drew Fickett enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kurt Pellegrino enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Drew Fickett finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Kurt Pellegrino 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.