Dricus Du Plessis vs Israel Adesanya
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-3-0Record24-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'4"
76″Reach80"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team CIT· 1712 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamCity Kickboxing
What's at stake
Dricus Du Plessis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Israel Adesanya carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1862
If they lose-15→ 1838
If they win+15→ 1776
If they lose-9→ 1752
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1779 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1743 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dricus Du PlessisIsrael Adesanya
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dricus Du Plessis82%
Israel Adesanya 18%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Dricus Du Plessis a 82% favorite over Israel Adesanya in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Dricus Du Plessis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1853 to 1761, a 92-point edge.
Israel Adesanya enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Dricus Du Plessis finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Israel Adesanya 67%.
Dricus Du Plessis and Israel Adesanya share 2 common opponents: Sean Strickland and Robert Whittaker.
Israel Adesanya carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (2)
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2025
WinDecision - Split · 2024
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023