Dricus Du Plessis vs Kamaru Usman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-3-0Record21-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
76″Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team CIT· 1716 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Dricus Du Plessis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Kamaru Usman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1872
If they lose-14→ 1848
If they win+14→ 1825
If they lose-10→ 1801
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1779 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1800 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dricus Du PlessisKamaru Usman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dricus Du Plessis62%
Kamaru Usman 38%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Dricus Du Plessis a 62% favorite over Kamaru Usman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Dricus Du Plessis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1862 to 1811, a 51-point edge.
Dricus Du Plessis finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Kamaru Usman 48%.
Dricus Du Plessis and Kamaru Usman share 1 common opponent: Khamzat Chimaev.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.