Dricus Du Plessis vs Kamaru Usman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
24-3-0Record21-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
76″Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team CITTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Dricus Du Plessis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Kamaru Usman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1864
If they lose-13→ 1840
If they win+13→ 1823
If they lose-11→ 1799
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1779 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1799 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dricus Du PlessisKamaru Usman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dricus Du Plessis73%
Kamaru Usman 27%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Dricus Du Plessis a 73% favorite over Kamaru Usman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Dricus Du Plessis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1853 to 1810, a 43-point edge.
Dricus Du Plessis finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Kamaru Usman 48%.
Dricus Du Plessis and Kamaru Usman share 1 common opponent: Khamzat Chimaev.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.