Combat Edge Intelligence

Dricus Du Plessis vs Trevin Giles

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Trevin Giles
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Trevin Giles

“The Problem”

16-7-0WelterweightUFC

1662Good

Tale of the tape

24-3-0Record16-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
76″Reach74"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team CIT· 1712 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamW4R Training Center· 1622 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

Dricus Du Plessis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Trevin Giles carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dricus Du PlessisNow 1853
If they win+6→ 1859
If they lose-18→ 1835
Trevin GilesNow 1662
If they win+24→ 1686
If they lose-8→ 1654

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1779 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.18
Sig. strikes / min
3.17
49%
Strike accuracy
54%
4.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.39
53%
Strike defense
58%
2.22
Takedown avg.
1.07
5%
Takedown accuracy
50%
35%
Takedown defense
72%
0.71
Submission avg.
0.29

Trajectory

Dricus Du PlessisTrevin Giles
165017001750180018502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (38%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
11 (46%)
Submission
5 (31%)
4 (17%)
Decision
5 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Dricus Du Plessis92%
Trevin Giles 8%Elo baseline: 75%

The Combat Edge model makes Dricus Du Plessis a 92% favorite over Trevin Giles in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).

Dricus Du Plessis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1853 to 1662, a 191-point edge.

Trevin Giles enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dricus Du Plessis finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Trevin Giles 69%.

Dricus Du Plessis carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.