Combat Edge Intelligence

Duško Todorović vs Maki Pitolo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Maki Pitolo
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Maki Pitolo

“Coconut Bombz”

15-12-0Light HeavyweightTUFF

1546Average

Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record15-12-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height5'9"
74"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight195 lbs
SecutorTeamWest Oahu MMA

What's at stake

Duško Todorović is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Maki Pitolo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Duško TodorovićNow 1621
If they win+13→ 1634
If they lose-19→ 1602
Maki PitoloNow 1546
If they win+19→ 1565
If they lose-13→ 1533

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.73
Sig. strikes / min
4.10
58%
Strike accuracy
44%
4.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.93
48%
Strike defense
55%
1.77
Takedown avg.
2.24
21%
Takedown accuracy
53%
43%
Takedown defense
50%
0.35
Submission avg.
0.75

Trajectory

Duško TodorovićMaki Pitolo
1550160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (62%)
KO/TKO
8 (53%)
4 (31%)
Submission
3 (20%)
1 (8%)
Decision
4 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Duško Todorović72%
Maki Pitolo 28%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Duško Todorović a 72% favorite over Maki Pitolo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Duško Todorović holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1621 to 1546, a 75-point edge.

Maki Pitolo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Duško Todorović finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Maki Pitolo 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.