Combat Edge Intelligence

Duško Todorović vs Robert Valentin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-7-0Record12-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
74"Reach 77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Duško TodorovićNow 1600
If they win+17→ 1617
If they lose-15→ 1585
Robert ValentinNow 1612
If they win+15→ 1627
If they lose-17→ 1595

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.73
Sig. strikes / min
1.30
58%
Strike accuracy
56%
4.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.72
48%
Strike defense
33%
1.77
Takedown avg.
0.59
21%
Takedown accuracy
50%
43%
Takedown defense
55%
0.35
Submission avg.
1.78

Trajectory

Duško TodorovićRobert Valentin
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (62%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
4 (31%)
Submission
8 (67%)
1 (8%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Duško Todorović55%
Robert Valentin 45%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Duško Todorović a 55% favorite over Robert Valentin in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Robert Valentin's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1612), separated by just 12 points.

Robert Valentin enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Duško Todorović finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Robert Valentin 92%.

Robert Valentin carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.