Duane Ludwig vs Jim Miller
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-14-0Record39-19-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
TBDReach71"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Grudge Training CenterTeamSussex County MMA
What's at stake
Jim Miller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Duane Ludwig carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1533
If they lose-7→ 1501
If they win+5→ 1725
If they lose-19→ 1701
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Duane LudwigJim Miller
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jim Miller92%
Duane Ludwig 8%Elo baseline: 77%
The Combat Edge model makes Jim Miller a 92% favorite over Duane Ludwig in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).
Jim Miller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1508, a 212-point edge.
Duane Ludwig enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Duane Ludwig finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Jim Miller 74%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.