Dustin Jacoby vs Ion Cutelaba
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-9-1Record20-12-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
76"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Factory XTeamTimoshkov Sport Club
What's at stake
Dustin Jacoby is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Ion Cutelaba carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1721
If they lose-14→ 1697
If they win+14→ 1655
If they lose-10→ 1631
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1678 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dustin JacobyIon Cutelaba
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dustin Jacoby63%
Ion Cutelaba 37%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Jacoby a 63% favorite over Ion Cutelaba in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Dustin Jacoby holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1641, a 70-point edge.
Dustin Jacoby enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Dustin Jacoby finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Ion Cutelaba 85%.
Dustin Jacoby and Ion Cutelaba share 1 common opponent: Kennedy Nzechukwu.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.