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Combat Edge Intelligence

Dustin Jacoby vs Iwo Baraniewski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dustin Jacoby
us

Dustin Jacoby

“The Hanyak”

22-10-1Light HeavyweightUFC

1695Good

Tale of the tape

22-10-1Record9-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
76"Reach73"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dustin JacobyNow 1695
If they win+12→ 1707
If they lose-12→ 1683
Iwo BaraniewskiNow 1696
If they win+16→ 1712
If they lose-16→ 1680

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1701 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.40
Sig. strikes / min
11.35
48%
Strike accuracy
58%
3.92
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.65
58%
Strike defense
53%
0.32
Takedown avg.
0
13%
Takedown accuracy
0%
62%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dustin JacobyIwo Baraniewski
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (68%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
1 (5%)
Submission
2 (22%)
6 (27%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Dustin Jacoby58%
Iwo Baraniewski 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Jacoby a 58% favorite over Iwo Baraniewski in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Iwo Baraniewski's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1695 vs 1696), separated by just 1 points.

Dustin Jacoby finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Iwo Baraniewski 100%.

Dustin Jacoby and Iwo Baraniewski share 1 common opponent: Alonzo Menifield.

Dustin Jacoby carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023
Alonzo Menifield
LossDecision (Split) · 2026