Combat Edge Intelligence

Dustin Jacoby vs John Allan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Dustin Jacoby
us

Dustin Jacoby

“The Hanyak”

22-9-1Light HeavyweightUFC

1711Good
John Allan
br

John Allan

“The Hunter”

18-9-0Light Heavyweight

1609Solid

Tale of the tape

22-9-1Record18-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
76"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Factory XTeamChute Boxe

What's at stake

Dustin Jacoby is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — John Allan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dustin JacobyNow 1711
If they win+9→ 1720
If they lose-15→ 1696
John AllanNow 1609
If they win+21→ 1630
If they lose-11→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.40
Sig. strikes / min
3.56
48%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.92
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.74
58%
Strike defense
52%
0.32
Takedown avg.
1.40
25%
Takedown accuracy
71%
62%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0.84

Trajectory

Dustin JacobyJohn Allan
155016001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (68%)
KO/TKO
13 (72%)
1 (5%)
Submission
4 (22%)
6 (27%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Dustin Jacoby75%
John Allan 25%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Jacoby a 75% favorite over John Allan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Dustin Jacoby holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1609, a 102-point edge.

Dustin Jacoby enters on a 3-fight win streak.

John Allan enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Dustin Jacoby finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, John Allan 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.