Dustin Jacoby vs John Allan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-10-1Record18-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
76"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Factory XTeamChute Boxe· 1678 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Dustin Jacoby is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — John Allan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1704
If they lose-15→ 1680
If they win+20→ 1629
If they lose-12→ 1597
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1701 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dustin JacobyJohn Allan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dustin Jacoby78%
John Allan 22%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Jacoby a 78% favorite over John Allan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Dustin Jacoby holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1695 to 1609, a 86-point edge.
John Allan enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Dustin Jacoby finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, John Allan 94%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.