Dustin Jacoby vs Muhammad Said
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-9-1Record9-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
76"Reach-
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Factory XTeamGOR MMA
What's at stake
Dustin Jacoby is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Muhammad Said carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1722
If they lose-13→ 1698
If they win+26→ 1707
If they lose-22→ 1659
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1486 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dustin JacobyMuhammad Said
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Muhammad Said52%
Dustin Jacoby 48%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Muhammad Said a 52% favorite over Dustin Jacoby in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dustin Jacoby's way (46%).
Dustin Jacoby holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1681, a 30-point edge.
Dustin Jacoby enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Muhammad Said enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Dustin Jacoby finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Muhammad Said 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.