Dustin Jacoby vs Muhammad Saidov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-10-1Record10-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
76"Reach73"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Factory XTeamGOR MMA· 1738 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Muhammad Saidov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Dustin Jacoby carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1708
If they lose-11→ 1684
If they win+15→ 1727
If they lose-17→ 1695
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1701 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dustin JacobyMuhammad Saidov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dustin Jacoby56%
Muhammad Saidov 44%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Jacoby a 56% favorite over Muhammad Saidov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Muhammad Saidov's way (48%).
Muhammad Saidov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1712 to 1695, a 17-point edge.
Muhammad Saidov enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Dustin Jacoby finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Muhammad Saidov 90%.
Dustin Jacoby carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.