Dustin Ortiz vs Hector Sandoval
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-9-0Record15-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'2"
65,0"Reach36,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Combat Sports AcademyTeamTeam Alpha Male
What's at stake
Dustin Ortiz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Hector Sandoval carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1698
If they lose-13→ 1674
If they win+17→ 1687
If they lose-15→ 1655
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dustin OrtizHector Sandoval
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dustin Ortiz53%
Hector Sandoval 47%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Ortiz a 53% favorite over Hector Sandoval in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Dustin Ortiz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1687 to 1670, a 17-point edge.
Hector Sandoval enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Dustin Ortiz finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Hector Sandoval 40%.
Dustin Ortiz and Hector Sandoval share 1 common opponent: Wilson Reis.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.