Combat Edge Intelligence

Dustin Stoltzfus vs Dwight Grant

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dwight Grant
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Dwight Grant

“The Body Snatcher”

11-6-0MiddleweightUFC

1643Solid

Tale of the tape

17-8-0Record11-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
75"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Frankers Fight TeamTeamAlliance MMA· 1633 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

Dustin Stoltzfus is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Dwight Grant carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dustin StoltzfusNow 1660
If they win+11→ 1671
If they lose-13→ 1647
Dwight GrantNow 1643
If they win+17→ 1660
If they lose-15→ 1628

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.30
Sig. strikes / min
3.29
45%
Strike accuracy
36%
3.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.66
48%
Strike defense
61%
2.08
Takedown avg.
0.61
10%
Takedown accuracy
100%
47%
Takedown defense
67%
1.11
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dustin StoltzfusDwight Grant
16501700202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (19%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
7 (44%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (38%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Dustin Stoltzfus84%
Dwight Grant 16%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Stoltzfus a 84% favorite over Dwight Grant in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Dustin Stoltzfus holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1660 to 1643, a 17-point edge.

Dwight Grant enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dustin Stoltzfus finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Dwight Grant 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.