Combat Edge Intelligence

Dustin Stoltzfus vs Eslam Abdul Baset

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-8-0Record16-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
75"ReachN/A
185 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dustin StoltzfusNow 1660
If they win+12→ 1672
If they lose-12→ 1648
Eslam Abdul BasetNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.30
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
45%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
48%
Strike defense
TBD
2.08
Takedown avg.
TBD
10%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
47%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.11
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dustin StoltzfusEslam Abdul Baset
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (19%)
KO/TKO
7 (44%)
7 (44%)
Submission
3 (19%)
6 (38%)
Decision
6 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Dustin Stoltzfus75%
Eslam Abdul Baset 25%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Stoltzfus a 75% favorite over Eslam Abdul Baset in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Eslam Abdul Baset's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1660 vs 1664), separated by just 4 points.

Eslam Abdul Baset enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dustin Stoltzfus finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Eslam Abdul Baset 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.