Combat Edge Intelligence

Dustin Stoltzfus vs Gerald Harris

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-8-0Record26-8-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
75"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Frankers Fight TeamTeamHurricane Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dustin StoltzfusNow 1660
If they win+12→ 1672
If they lose-12→ 1648
Gerald HarrisNow 1661
If they win+12→ 1673
If they lose-12→ 1649

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.30
Sig. strikes / min
1.22
45%
Strike accuracy
26%
3.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.10
48%
Strike defense
63%
2.08
Takedown avg.
2.62
10%
Takedown accuracy
57%
47%
Takedown defense
73%
1.11
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dustin StoltzfusGerald Harris
165017002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (19%)
KO/TKO
15 (58%)
7 (44%)
Submission
2 (8%)
6 (38%)
Decision
9 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Dustin Stoltzfus72%
Gerald Harris 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Stoltzfus a 72% favorite over Gerald Harris in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gerald Harris's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1660 vs 1661), separated by just 1 points.

Dustin Stoltzfus finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Gerald Harris 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.