Dustin Stoltzfus vs Kyle Daukaus
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-8-0Record17-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'3"
75"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Frankers Fight TeamTeamMartinez BJJ
What's at stake
Kyle Daukaus is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Dustin Stoltzfus carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1657
If they lose-12→ 1625
If they win+12→ 1728
If they lose-20→ 1696
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dustin StoltzfusKyle Daukaus
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kyle Daukaus84%
Dustin Stoltzfus 16%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Kyle Daukaus a 84% favorite over Dustin Stoltzfus in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Kyle Daukaus holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1716 to 1637, a 79-point edge.
Dustin Stoltzfus enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dustin Stoltzfus finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Daukaus 82%.
Dustin Stoltzfus and Kyle Daukaus share 1 common opponent: Gerald Meerschaert.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.