Dustin Stoltzfus vs Kyle Daukaus
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-8-0Record17-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'3"
75"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
Kyle Daukaus is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Dustin Stoltzfus carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1674
If they lose-10→ 1650
If they win+13→ 1729
If they lose-19→ 1697
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dustin StoltzfusKyle Daukaus
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kyle Daukaus62%
Dustin Stoltzfus 38%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Kyle Daukaus a 62% favorite over Dustin Stoltzfus in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Kyle Daukaus holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1716 to 1660, a 56-point edge.
Dustin Stoltzfus finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Daukaus 82%.
Dustin Stoltzfus and Kyle Daukaus share 1 common opponent: Gerald Meerschaert.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.