Dustin Stoltzfus vs Luis Hernandez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-8-0Record7-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height5'10"
75"Reach72"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1672
If they lose-12→ 1648
If they win+24→ 1681
If they lose-24→ 1633
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1682 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dustin StoltzfusLuis Hernandez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dustin Stoltzfus70%
Luis Hernandez 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Stoltzfus a 70% favorite over Luis Hernandez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1660 vs 1657), separated by just 3 points.
Luis Hernandez enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Dustin Stoltzfus finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Luis Hernandez 100%.
Dustin Stoltzfus carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.