Dustin Stoltzfus vs Nursulton Ruziboev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-8-0Record37-9-2
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'5"
75"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
Nursulton Ruziboev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Dustin Stoltzfus carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1674
If they lose-10→ 1650
If they win+10→ 1736
If they lose-14→ 1712
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dustin StoltzfusNursulton Ruziboev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nursulton Ruziboev64%
Dustin Stoltzfus 36%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Nursulton Ruziboev a 64% favorite over Dustin Stoltzfus in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Nursulton Ruziboev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1726 to 1660, a 66-point edge.
Nursulton Ruziboev enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Dustin Stoltzfus finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Nursulton Ruziboev 92%.
Dustin Stoltzfus and Nursulton Ruziboev share 1 common opponent: Brunno Ferreira.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.