Combat Edge Intelligence

Dustin Stoltzfus vs Nursulton Ruziboev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-8-0Record37-9-2
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'5"
75"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Frankers Fight TeamTeamUZB Patriot

What's at stake

Nursulton Ruziboev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Dustin Stoltzfus carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dustin StoltzfusNow 1637
If they win+20→ 1657
If they lose-12→ 1625
Nursulton RuziboevNow 1727
If they win+9→ 1736
If they lose-15→ 1712

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.30
Sig. strikes / min
2.59
45%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.89
48%
Strike defense
49%
2.08
Takedown avg.
0.75
10%
Takedown accuracy
67%
47%
Takedown defense
33%
1.11
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dustin StoltzfusNursulton Ruziboev
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
13 (35%)
6 (40%)
Submission
21 (57%)
6 (40%)
Decision
3 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Nursulton Ruziboev80%
Dustin Stoltzfus 20%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Nursulton Ruziboev a 80% favorite over Dustin Stoltzfus in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Nursulton Ruziboev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1727 to 1637, a 90-point edge.

Dustin Stoltzfus enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nursulton Ruziboev enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Dustin Stoltzfus finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Nursulton Ruziboev 92%.

Dustin Stoltzfus and Nursulton Ruziboev share 1 common opponent: Brunno Ferreira.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO/TKO · 2024
Brunno Ferreira
WinKO/TKO · 2023