Combat Edge Intelligence

Duško Todorović vs Gilbert Urbina

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-7-0Record8-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'3"
74"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
SecutorTeamBMF Ranch

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Duško TodorovićNow 1600
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584
Gilbert UrbinaNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.73
Sig. strikes / min
5.57
58%
Strike accuracy
57%
4.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.62
48%
Strike defense
45%
1.77
Takedown avg.
2.86
21%
Takedown accuracy
44%
43%
Takedown defense
0%
0.35
Submission avg.
0.71

Trajectory

Duško TodorovićGilbert Urbina
160020252026

Win method breakdown

8 (62%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
4 (31%)
Submission
2 (25%)
1 (8%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Duško Todorović and Gilbert Urbina within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1597), separated by just 3 points.

Duško Todorović finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Gilbert Urbina 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.