Combat Edge Intelligence

Duško Todorović vs Gregory Rodrigues

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record19-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
74"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
SecutorTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

Gregory Rodrigues is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Duško Todorović carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Duško TodorovićNow 1621
If they win+22→ 1643
If they lose-10→ 1611
Gregory RodriguesNow 1765
If they win+7→ 1772
If they lose-17→ 1748

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1701 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.73
Sig. strikes / min
5.53
58%
Strike accuracy
52%
4.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.78
48%
Strike defense
51%
1.77
Takedown avg.
1.90
21%
Takedown accuracy
16%
43%
Takedown defense
75%
0.35
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Duško TodorovićGregory Rodrigues
16001650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (62%)
KO/TKO
12 (63%)
4 (31%)
Submission
3 (16%)
1 (8%)
Decision
4 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Gregory Rodrigues87%
Duško Todorović 13%Elo baseline: 70%

The Combat Edge model makes Gregory Rodrigues a 87% favorite over Duško Todorović in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).

Gregory Rodrigues holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1765 to 1621, a 144-point edge.

Gregory Rodrigues enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Duško Todorović finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Gregory Rodrigues 79%.

Duško Todorović and Gregory Rodrigues share 2 common opponents: Christian Leroy Duncan and Chidi Njokuani.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossKO/TKO · 2023
Christian Leroy Duncan
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2024
LossKO · 2022
Chidi Njokuani
WinTKO · 2022