Combat Edge Intelligence

Duško Todorović vs Maki Pitolo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Maki Pitolo
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Maki Pitolo

“Coconut Bombz”

15-12-0Light HeavyweightTUFF

1547Average

Tale of the tape

13-7-0Record15-12-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height5'9"
74"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight195 lbs
SecutorTeamWest Oahu MMA

What's at stake

Duško Todorović is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Maki Pitolo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Duško TodorovićNow 1600
If they win+14→ 1614
If they lose-18→ 1582
Maki PitoloNow 1547
If they win+18→ 1565
If they lose-14→ 1533

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.73
Sig. strikes / min
4.10
58%
Strike accuracy
44%
4.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.93
48%
Strike defense
55%
1.77
Takedown avg.
2.24
21%
Takedown accuracy
53%
43%
Takedown defense
50%
0.35
Submission avg.
0.75

Trajectory

Duško TodorovićMaki Pitolo
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (62%)
KO/TKO
8 (53%)
4 (31%)
Submission
3 (20%)
1 (8%)
Decision
4 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Duško Todorović73%
Maki Pitolo 27%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Duško Todorović a 73% favorite over Maki Pitolo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Duško Todorović holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1600 to 1547, a 53-point edge.

Maki Pitolo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Duško Todorović finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Maki Pitolo 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.