Combat Edge Intelligence

Duško Todorović vs Punahele Soriano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record13-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74"Reach 72"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
SecutorTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Punahele Soriano is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Duško Todorović carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Duško TodorovićNow 1621
If they win+20→ 1641
If they lose-12→ 1609
Punahele SorianoNow 1711
If they win+12→ 1723
If they lose-20→ 1691

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.73
Sig. strikes / min
4.66
58%
Strike accuracy
55%
4.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.42
48%
Strike defense
48%
1.77
Takedown avg.
1.83
21%
Takedown accuracy
48%
43%
Takedown defense
40%
0.35
Submission avg.
0.14

Trajectory

Duško TodorovićPunahele Soriano
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (62%)
KO/TKO
7 (54%)
4 (31%)
Submission
2 (15%)
1 (8%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Punahele Soriano73%
Duško Todorović 27%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Punahele Soriano a 73% favorite over Duško Todorović in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Punahele Soriano holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1621, a 90-point edge.

Punahele Soriano enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Duško Todorović finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Punahele Soriano 69%.

Duško Todorović carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.