Combat Edge Intelligence

Duško Todorović vs Robert Valentin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record11-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
74"Reach 77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
SecutorTeamFight Move Academy

What's at stake

Duško Todorović is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Robert Valentin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Duško TodorovićNow 1621
If they win+15→ 1636
If they lose-17→ 1604
Robert ValentinNow 1592
If they win+17→ 1609
If they lose-15→ 1577

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.73
Sig. strikes / min
1.30
58%
Strike accuracy
56%
4.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.72
48%
Strike defense
33%
1.77
Takedown avg.
0.59
21%
Takedown accuracy
50%
43%
Takedown defense
55%
0.35
Submission avg.
1.78

Trajectory

Duško TodorovićRobert Valentin
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (62%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
4 (31%)
Submission
7 (64%)
1 (8%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Duško Todorović and Robert Valentin within a point of even.

Duško Todorović holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1621 to 1592, a 29-point edge.

Duško Todorović finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Robert Valentin 91%.

Robert Valentin carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.