Combat Edge Intelligence

Duško Todorović vs Zach Reese

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Zach Reese
us

Zach Reese

“Savage”

10-4-0MiddleweightUFC

1644Solid

Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record10-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
74"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
SecutorTeamW4R Training Center

What's at stake

Zach Reese is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Duško Todorović carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Duško TodorovićNow 1621
If they win+17→ 1638
If they lose-15→ 1606
Zach ReeseNow 1644
If they win+15→ 1659
If they lose-17→ 1627

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.73
Sig. strikes / min
4.48
58%
Strike accuracy
54%
4.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.92
48%
Strike defense
44%
1.77
Takedown avg.
2.80
21%
Takedown accuracy
61%
43%
Takedown defense
52%
0.35
Submission avg.
1.27

Trajectory

Duško TodorovićZach Reese
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (62%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
4 (31%)
Submission
3 (30%)
1 (8%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Zach Reese62%
Duško Todorović 38%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Zach Reese a 62% favorite over Duško Todorović in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Zach Reese holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1644 to 1621, a 23-point edge.

Zach Reese enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Duško Todorović finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Zach Reese 80%.

Duško Todorović and Zach Reese share 1 common opponent: José Medina.

Zach Reese carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinSubmission (rear-naked choke) · 2025
José Medina
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2024