Zach Reese vs Duško Todorović

May 31, 2025 · ESPN+

DateMay 31, 2025

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueUFC APEX

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, May 31, 2025 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 9:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 6:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 2:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 11:00 AM
Your time

Zach ReeseSavage |10-4-0Zach Reese vs Duško TodorovićDuško TodorovićThunder |13-7-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Zach Reese owns a 63-point Elo edge (good). Zach Reese shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 2 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Zach Reese and Duško Todorović across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Zach ReeseDuško Todorović

Recent form

Zach ReeseL L W W L · -22 Elo last 5

LLWWL

Duško TodorovićL W L L L · -57 Elo last 5

LWLLL

Elo edge

Zach Reese1664-20 last move

Duško Todorović1601-21 last move

Why they are ranked here

Zach Reese#94 of 275 active Middleweight fighters · 1664 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Eli Aronov (rated 1643 at the time): +29.
Costliest loss: Lost to Cody Brundage (rated 1589 at the time): -36.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -22 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #93 Rodolfo Vieira, 1 ahead of #95 Mark Hulme.

Duško Todorović#161 of 275 active Middleweight fighters · 1601 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Maki Pitolo (rated 1570 at the time): +25.
Costliest loss: Lost to Punahele Soriano (rated 1685 at the time): -29.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -57 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #160 Wes Schultz, 1 ahead of #162 Elias Silvério.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Zach ReeseNow 1664 · #94 Middleweight

Wins by decision+13→ 1677

Loses by decision-19→ 1645

Duško TodorovićNow 1601 · #161 Middleweight

Wins by decision+19→ 1620

Loses by decision-13→ 1588

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Zach ReesevsDuško Todorović

Submission average

1.27vs0.35

Takedown accuracy

61%vs21%

Takedown average

2.80vs1.77

Takedown defense

52%vs43%

Finishing profile

Zach ReeseKO/TKO leads 50% of wins

Duško TodorovićKO/TKO leads 62% of wins

Common opponents

José Medina Zach Reese: win · Decision (Unanimous) · Aug 24, 2024 Duško Todorović: win · Submission (Rear Naked Choke) · Sep 13, 2025

Michel Pereira Zach Reese: loss · Decision (Split) · Feb 21, 2026Duško Todorović: win · TKO (Punches) · Dec 1, 2018

Tale of the tape

Zach ReeseDuško Todorović

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.48Sig. strikes landed per min4.73

UFC middleweight average : 3.94

54Sig. strike accuracy58

UFC middleweight average : 48%

3.92Sig. strikes absorbed per min4.40

UFC middleweight average : 3.82

44Sig. strike defense48

UFC middleweight average : 52%

2.80Takedown average1.77

UFC middleweight average : 1.62

61Takedown accuracy21

UFC middleweight average : 30%

52Takedown defense43

UFC middleweight average : 59%

1.27Submission average0.35

UFC middleweight average : 0.68

5Wins by knockout8

3Wins by submission4

2Wins by decision1

3Losses by knockout4

0Losses by submission1

1Losses by decision2

Zach Reese vs Duško Todorović is a scheduled Fight card fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : BLANCHFIELD VS BARBER. Zach Reese enters with a 10-4-0 record and Duško Todorović enters with a 13-7-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.