Dylan Smerillo vs Ger Harris
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-4-0Record7-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'6"
-Reach-
145 lbsWeight124 lbs
3sotericTeamSBG Charlestown· 1628 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1561
If they lose-23→ 1513
If they win+16→ 1561
If they lose-16→ 1529
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1504 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dylan SmerilloGer Harris
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ger Harris55%
Dylan Smerillo 45%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Ger Harris a 55% favorite over Dylan Smerillo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1536 vs 1545), separated by just 9 points.
Dylan Smerillo finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ger Harris 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.