Ebrahem Mahmoud vs Phil Johns
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record30-14-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'2"
75''ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight160 lbs
Diesel Fighting AcademyTeamSilverbacks Vale Tudo
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1496
If they lose-23→ 1448
If they win+16→ 1496
If they lose-16→ 1464
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ebrahem MahmoudPhil Johns
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ebrahem Mahmoud70%
Phil Johns 30%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Ebrahem Mahmoud a 70% favorite over Phil Johns in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Phil Johns's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1471 vs 1480), separated by just 9 points.
Phil Johns enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Phil Johns 68%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.