Combat Edge Intelligence

Ebrahem Mahmoud vs Val Woodburn

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Val Woodburn
us

Val Woodburn

“The Animal”

7-2-0WelterweightUFC

1470Average

Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record7-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'8"
75''Reach74.00
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Diesel Fighting AcademyTeamFusion X-Cel Performance

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ebrahem MahmoudNow 1471
If they win+24→ 1495
If they lose-24→ 1447
Val WoodburnNow 1470
If they win+24→ 1494
If they lose-24→ 1446

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1661 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.60
TBD
Strike accuracy
36%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.93
TBD
Strike defense
36%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.92
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ebrahem MahmoudVal Woodburn
14501500202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
5 (71%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Ebrahem Mahmoud70%
Val Woodburn 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ebrahem Mahmoud a 70% favorite over Val Woodburn in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1471 vs 1470), separated by just 1 points.

Val Woodburn enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Val Woodburn 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.