Eddie Wineland vs Frankie Saenz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-16-1Record12-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
69"Reach66,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Duneland Vale TudoTeamFight Ready
What's at stake
Eddie Wineland is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Frankie Saenz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1624
If they lose-13→ 1600
If they win+17→ 1606
If they lose-15→ 1574
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1660 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Eddie WinelandFrankie Saenz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Eddie Wineland56%
Frankie Saenz 44%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Eddie Wineland a 56% favorite over Frankie Saenz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Eddie Wineland holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1613 to 1589, a 24-point edge.
Eddie Wineland enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Frankie Saenz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Eddie Wineland finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Frankie Saenz 42%.
Eddie Wineland carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.