Combat Edge Intelligence

Eddie Wineland vs Urijah Faber

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Urijah Faber
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Urijah Faber

“The California Kid”

35-11-0BantamweightUFC

1777Great

Tale of the tape

24-16-1Record35-11-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
69"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Duneland Vale TudoTeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

Urijah Faber is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Eddie Wineland carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Eddie WinelandNow 1613
If they win+17→ 1630
If they lose-7→ 1606
Urijah FaberNow 1777
If they win+7→ 1784
If they lose-17→ 1760

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1660 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1690 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.40
Sig. strikes / min
2.65
29%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.76
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.59
68%
Strike defense
64%
0.34
Takedown avg.
1.54
33%
Takedown accuracy
30%
86%
Takedown defense
58%
0.14
Submission avg.
0.85

Trajectory

Eddie WinelandUrijah Faber
16001650170017501800201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

15 (65%)
KO/TKO
10 (29%)
4 (17%)
Submission
17 (50%)
4 (17%)
Decision
7 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Urijah Faber78%
Eddie Wineland 22%Elo baseline: 72%

The Combat Edge model makes Urijah Faber a 78% favorite over Eddie Wineland in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).

Urijah Faber holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1777 to 1613, a 164-point edge.

Eddie Wineland enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Eddie Wineland finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Urijah Faber 79%.

Eddie Wineland and Urijah Faber share 1 common opponent: Frankie Saenz.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinKO/TKO · 2016
Frankie Saenz
WinDEC · 2015