Combat Edge Intelligence

Edgar Cháirez vs Felipe Bunes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-6-0Record14-9-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'7"
71"Reach69"
131 lbsWeight125 lbs
Entram Gym· 1683 avg Elo · 11 ratedTeamPitbull Brothers· 1624 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

Edgar Cháirez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Felipe Bunes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Edgar CháirezNow 1652
If they win+12→ 1664
If they lose-20→ 1632
Felipe BunesNow 1561
If they win+20→ 1581
If they lose-12→ 1549

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1593 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.76
Sig. strikes / min
2.93
46%
Strike accuracy
51%
4.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.66
46%
Strike defense
45%
0
Takedown avg.
1.13
0%
Takedown accuracy
22%
48%
Takedown defense
40%
1.44
Submission avg.
2.26

Trajectory

Edgar CháirezFelipe Bunes
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
2 (15%)
9 (64%)
Submission
9 (69%)
1 (7%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Edgar Cháirez73%
Felipe Bunes 27%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Edgar Cháirez a 73% favorite over Felipe Bunes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Edgar Cháirez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1652 to 1561, a 91-point edge.

Edgar Cháirez enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Felipe Bunes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Edgar Cháirez finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Felipe Bunes 85%.

Edgar Cháirez and Felipe Bunes share 1 common opponent: Joshua Van.

Edgar Cháirez carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2024
Joshua Van
LossTKO · 2024