Edmund Kwan vs Ednilson Santos
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Ednilson Santos60%
Edmund Kwan 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ednilson Santos a 60% favorite over Edmund Kwan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1565 vs 1566), separated by just 1 points.
Edmund Kwan finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ednilson Santos 57%.
Ednilson Santos carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
5-2-0Record14-8-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
71"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1626 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamPeso Pesado Gold Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1589
If they lose-24→ 1541
If they win+16→ 1582
If they lose-16→ 1550
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1514 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Edmund KwanEdnilson Santos