Combat Edge Intelligence

Edmund Kwan vs Trever Devestern

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record3-1-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'10"
71"Reach-
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1646 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeam

What's at stake

Edmund Kwan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Trever Devestern carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Edmund KwanNow 1588
If they win+21→ 1609
If they lose-27→ 1561
Trever DevesternNow 1548
If they win+27→ 1575
If they lose-21→ 1527

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1482 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Edmund KwanTrever Devestern
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
4 (80%)
Submission
1 (33%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Edmund Kwan51%
Trever Devestern 49%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Edmund Kwan a 51% favorite over Trever Devestern in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Edmund Kwan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1588 to 1548, a 40-point edge.

Trever Devestern enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Edmund Kwan finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Trever Devestern 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.