Edson Barboza vs George Hardwick
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-15-0Record15-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
75"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight154 lbs
American Top TeamTeamMiddlesbrough Fight Academy· 1600 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1681
If they lose-12→ 1657
If they win+16→ 1685
If they lose-16→ 1653
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1725 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Edson BarbozaGeorge Hardwick
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Edson Barboza69%
George Hardwick 31%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Edson Barboza a 69% favorite over George Hardwick in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1669 vs 1669), separated by just 0 points.
Edson Barboza enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Edson Barboza finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, George Hardwick 60%.
Edson Barboza carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.