Combat Edge Intelligence

Edson Barboza vs Giga Chikadze

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-15-0Record15-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height6'0"
75"Reach 74"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Top TeamTeamKings MMA· 1672 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

Giga Chikadze is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Edson Barboza carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Edson BarbozaNow 1669
If they win+13→ 1682
If they lose-11→ 1658
Giga ChikadzeNow 1687
If they win+15→ 1702
If they lose-17→ 1670

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1725 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1695 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.14
Sig. strikes / min
3.75
45%
Strike accuracy
43%
4.68
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.47
56%
Strike defense
60%
0.43
Takedown avg.
0.18
32%
Takedown accuracy
17%
73%
Takedown defense
66%
0.08
Submission avg.
0.18

Trajectory

Edson BarbozaGiga Chikadze
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (58%)
KO/TKO
9 (60%)
1 (4%)
Submission
1 (7%)
9 (38%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Edson Barboza52%
Giga Chikadze 48%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Edson Barboza a 52% favorite over Giga Chikadze in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Giga Chikadze's way (47%).

Giga Chikadze holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1687 to 1669, a 18-point edge.

Edson Barboza enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Giga Chikadze enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Edson Barboza finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Giga Chikadze 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.