Combat Edge Intelligence

Edson Machavane vs Ryoto Nishiyama

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record5-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Creonte BJJ GymTeamParaestra Hachioji

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Edson MachavaneNow 1595
If they win+24→ 1619
If they lose-24→ 1571
Ryoto NishiyamaNow 1593
If they win+24→ 1617
If they lose-24→ 1569

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Edson MachavaneRyoto Nishiyama
14501500155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
4 (80%)
3 (43%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (29%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryoto Nishiyama65%
Edson Machavane 35%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryoto Nishiyama a 65% favorite over Edson Machavane in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Edson Machavane's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1595 vs 1593), separated by just 2 points.

Edson Machavane enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ryoto Nishiyama enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Edson Machavane finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Ryoto Nishiyama 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.