Combat Edge Intelligence

Edson Machavane vs Vinicius Salvador

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record14-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'9"
-Reach70,5"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Edson MachavaneNow 1595
If they win+24→ 1619
If they lose-24→ 1571
Vinicius SalvadorNow 1593
If they win+16→ 1609
If they lose-16→ 1577

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.48
TBD
Strike accuracy
43%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.50
TBD
Strike defense
48%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.36
TBD
Takedown accuracy
11%
TBD
Takedown defense
87%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Edson MachavaneVinicius Salvador
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
13 (93%)
3 (43%)
Submission
1 (7%)
2 (29%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Edson Machavane61%
Vinicius Salvador 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Edson Machavane a 61% favorite over Vinicius Salvador in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1595 vs 1593), separated by just 2 points.

Edson Machavane enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Vinicius Salvador enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Edson Machavane finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Vinicius Salvador 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.