Combat Edge Intelligence

Eduarda Moura vs Katlyn Cerminara

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-2-0Record18-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'9"
67"ReachTBD
117 lbsWeight125 lbs
Galpao da LutaTeamTeam Renzo Gracie

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eduarda MouraNow 1705
If they win+16→ 1721
If they lose-16→ 1689
Katlyn CerminaraNow 1713
If they win+12→ 1725
If they lose-12→ 1701

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.04
Sig. strikes / min
4.58
38%
Strike accuracy
35%
2.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.48
62%
Strike defense
62%
3.73
Takedown avg.
0.31
38%
Takedown accuracy
16%
80%
Takedown defense
50%
0.27
Submission avg.
0.31

Trajectory

Eduarda MouraKatlyn Cerminara
1700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
2 (11%)
5 (42%)
Submission
1 (6%)
3 (25%)
Decision
15 (83%)

Combat Edge model read

Eduarda Moura70%
Katlyn Cerminara 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Eduarda Moura a 70% favorite over Katlyn Cerminara in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Katlyn Cerminara's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1705 vs 1713), separated by just 8 points.

Katlyn Cerminara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Eduarda Moura finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Katlyn Cerminara 17%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.