Combat Edge Intelligence

Eduarda Moura vs Veronica Hardy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-2-0Record10-5-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'3"
67"Reach64"
117 lbsWeight125 lbs
Galpao da LutaTeamMMA Factory

What's at stake

Eduarda Moura is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Veronica Hardy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Eduarda MouraNow 1705
If they win+11→ 1716
If they lose-21→ 1684
Veronica HardyNow 1591
If they win+21→ 1612
If they lose-11→ 1580

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.04
Sig. strikes / min
3.06
38%
Strike accuracy
46%
2.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.24
62%
Strike defense
50%
3.73
Takedown avg.
0.82
38%
Takedown accuracy
6%
80%
Takedown defense
52%
0.27
Submission avg.
0.35

Trajectory

Eduarda MouraVeronica Hardy
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
1 (10%)
5 (42%)
Submission
2 (20%)
3 (25%)
Decision
7 (70%)

Combat Edge model read

Eduarda Moura71%
Veronica Hardy 29%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Eduarda Moura a 71% favorite over Veronica Hardy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Eduarda Moura holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1705 to 1591, a 114-point edge.

Eduarda Moura finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Veronica Hardy 30%.

Eduarda Moura carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.