Eduardo Castro vs Jose Johnson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
15-7-0Record16-10-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height6'0"
66"Reach71"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Carioca Academy· 1618 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamTwin Wolves MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592
If they win+12→ 1620
If they lose-12→ 1596
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1510 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1617 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Eduardo CastroJose Johnson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jose Johnson59%
Eduardo Castro 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jose Johnson a 59% favorite over Eduardo Castro in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Eduardo Castro's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1608 vs 1608), separated by just 0 points.
Jose Johnson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Eduardo Castro finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Jose Johnson 69%.
Jose Johnson carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.