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Combat Edge Intelligence

Eduardo Castro vs Kiru Sahota

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-7-0Record12-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'10"
66"Reach73"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Carioca Academy· 1615 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamManchester Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eduardo CastroNow 1608
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592
Kiru SahotaNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.33
Not available
Strike accuracy
57%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.47
Not available
Strike defense
42%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1
Not available
Takedown accuracy
33%
Not available
Takedown defense
50%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Eduardo CastroKiru Sahota
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
6 (50%)
8 (53%)
Submission
2 (17%)
4 (27%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Eduardo Castro55%
Kiru Sahota 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Eduardo Castro a 55% favorite over Kiru Sahota in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kiru Sahota's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1608 vs 1609), separated by just 1 points.

Kiru Sahota enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Eduardo Castro finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Kiru Sahota 67%.

Kiru Sahota carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.