Combat Edge Intelligence

Eduardo Henrique vs Marcirley Alves

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-3-0Record15-6-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'4"
67"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Maquininha do FuturoTeamChute Boxe Joao Emilio· 1704 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eduardo HenriqueNow 1660
If they win+16→ 1676
If they lose-16→ 1644
Marcirley AlvesNow 1659
If they win+16→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1643

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1648 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.47
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
40%
Strike accuracy
Not available
1.60
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
65%
Strike defense
Not available
5
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
75%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Eduardo HenriqueMarcirley Alves
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
10 (67%)
4 (27%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (27%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcirley Alves62%
Eduardo Henrique 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcirley Alves a 62% favorite over Eduardo Henrique in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Eduardo Henrique's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1660 vs 1659), separated by just 1 points.

Marcirley Alves enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Eduardo Henrique finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Marcirley Alves 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.