Combat Edge Intelligence

Eduardo Neves vs Gary Goodridge

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record23-22-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
78.5"ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight240 lbs
Eduardo Machado TeamTeamBig Daddy Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eduardo NevesNow 1599
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
Gary GoodridgeNow 1592
If they win+12→ 1604
If they lose-12→ 1580

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.69
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
66%
Strike accuracy
TBD
6.15
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
56%
Strike defense
TBD
5.77
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Eduardo NevesGary Goodridge
16001650200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (89%)
KO/TKO
16 (70%)
1 (11%)
Submission
6 (26%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (4%)

Combat Edge model read

Eduardo Neves71%
Gary Goodridge 29%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Eduardo Neves a 71% favorite over Gary Goodridge in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1592), separated by just 7 points.

Gary Goodridge enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Eduardo Neves finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Gary Goodridge 96%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.