Combat Edge Intelligence

Eduardo Neves vs James Mulheron

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record11-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height5'10"
78.5"Reach41,0"
265 lbsWeight243 lbs
Eduardo Machado TeamTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eduardo NevesNow 1599
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
James MulheronNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.69
Sig. strikes / min
2.40
66%
Strike accuracy
32%
6.15
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.47
56%
Strike defense
43%
5.77
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
25%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Eduardo NevesJames Mulheron
160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (89%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
1 (11%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Eduardo Neves64%
James Mulheron 36%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Eduardo Neves a 64% favorite over James Mulheron in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1592), separated by just 7 points.

James Mulheron enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Eduardo Neves finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, James Mulheron 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.