Combat Edge Intelligence

Eduardo Neves vs Joe Cason

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record9-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
78.5"ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight223 lbs
Eduardo Machado TeamTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eduardo NevesNow 1599
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
Joe CasonNow 1602
If they win+24→ 1626
If they lose-24→ 1578

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.69
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
66%
Strike accuracy
TBD
6.15
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
56%
Strike defense
TBD
5.77
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Eduardo NevesJoe Cason
1600201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (89%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
1 (11%)
Submission
2 (22%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Eduardo Neves63%
Joe Cason 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Eduardo Neves a 63% favorite over Joe Cason in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joe Cason's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1602), separated by just 3 points.

Eduardo Neves finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Joe Cason 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.