Eduardo Neves vs Karl Williams
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record10-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
78.5"Reach79"
265 lbsWeight247 lbs
Eduardo Machado TeamTeamAmerican Top Team Atlanta
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Eduardo NevesKarl Williams
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Eduardo Neves62%
Karl Williams 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Eduardo Neves a 62% favorite over Karl Williams in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Karl Williams's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1600), separated by just 1 points.
Karl Williams enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Eduardo Neves finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Karl Williams 30%.
Eduardo Neves and Karl Williams share 2 common opponents: Maxwell Djantou Nana and Jhonata Diniz.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.