Combat Edge Intelligence

Eduardo Neves vs Marcus Buchecha

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record5-3-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
TBDReach80"
265 lbsWeight254 lbs
Eduardo Machado TeamTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eduardo NevesNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
Marcus BuchechaNow 1593
If they win+24→ 1617
If they lose-24→ 1569

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1528 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1625 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.69
Sig. strikes / min
1.70
66%
Strike accuracy
49%
6.15
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.17
56%
Strike defense
51%
5.77
Takedown avg.
2
67%
Takedown accuracy
17%
0%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Eduardo NevesMarcus Buchecha
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (100%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (80%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcus Buchecha60%
Eduardo Neves 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcus Buchecha a 60% favorite over Eduardo Neves in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1593), separated by just 4 points.

Eduardo Neves finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Marcus Buchecha 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.